YEARLY HIGH
1.4072 BOB
YEARLY LOW
0.8551 BOB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8827 BOB

2026 MOP to BOB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to BOB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 1.4072. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.8551.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5522 BOB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8613 to the December average rate of 1.0318, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.4072 was up 61.70% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.8702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,036 BOB
2025 Average 4,305 BOB
Yearly Trough Low 4,275 BOB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,760.76 BOB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.0494
0.8385
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to BOB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8578, compared to 1.0318 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1740 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8578
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0318

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was July, with a trading range of 0.5513 BOB (High: 1.4072 / Low: 0.8559). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 BOB (High: 0.8564 / Low: 0.8551).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.5513
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 1.0318) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.8549), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1769 (+20.69%).

2026 Avg (July) 1.0318
2025 Avg (July) 0.8549

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8646 0.8593 0.8613
February 0.8621 0.8574 0.8586
March 0.8614 0.8557 0.8579
April 0.8598 0.8558 0.8564
May 0.8564 0.8551 0.8561
June 0.8588 0.8554 0.8565
July 1.4072 0.8559 1.0318