YEARLY HIGH
3.1962 CUP
YEARLY LOW
0.1234 CUP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5004 CUP

2026 MOP to CUP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to CUP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 3.1962. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.1234.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0728 CUP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1245 to the December average rate of 3.1882, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2459.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.1962 was up 2433.80% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.1261, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,981 CUP
2025 Average 623 CUP
Yearly Trough Low 617 CUP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,363.98 CUP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.4974
-0.1826
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to CUP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2191, compared to 3.1882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9691 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2191
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 3.0673 CUP (High: 3.1907 / Low: 0.1235). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 CUP (High: 0.1255 / Low: 0.1243).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.0673
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0013 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 3.1882) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.1237), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0645 (+2477.18%).

2026 Avg (July) 3.1882
2025 Avg (July) 0.1237

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1255 0.1243 0.1245
February 0.1246 0.1234 0.1243
March 0.1248 0.1236 0.1241
April 3.1907 0.1235 0.5615
May 3.1916 3.1898 3.1907
June 3.1923 3.1832 3.1894
July 3.1962 3.1821 3.1882