YEARLY HIGH
12.1999 CVE
YEARLY LOW
10.9969 CVE
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.6074 CVE

2018 MOP to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 12.1999. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 10.9969.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2030 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2765 to the December average rate of 12.0576, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 12.1999 was down 7.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.2041, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,999 CVE
2017 Average 61,123 CVE
Yearly Trough Low 54,985 CVE
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,014.82 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

12.1521
11.0184
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3245, compared to 11.8902 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5657 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3245
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.8902

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.5361 CVE (High: 11.5354 / Low: 10.9993). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1575 CVE (High: 11.8229 / Low: 11.6654).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5361
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1575

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1521 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1521

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 12.0576) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.6102), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4475 (+3.85%).

2018 Avg (December) 12.0576
2017 Avg (December) 11.6102

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.5354 10.9993 11.2765
February 11.2558 11.0130 11.1243
March 11.2552 10.9969 11.1129
April 11.3213 11.0588 11.1592
May 11.7946 11.3398 11.5531
June 11.8362 11.5375 11.7213
July 11.7990 11.5919 11.7018
August 12.0594 11.6897 11.8509
September 11.8229 11.6654 11.7434
October 12.1199 11.8066 11.9316
November 12.1568 11.9640 12.0561
December 12.1999 11.9591 12.0576