2016 MOP to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.4573 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.9723 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2530 EGP

2016 MOP to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 2.4573. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 0.9723.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4850 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9769 to the December average rate of 2.3028, the exchange rate registered a net change of 135.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.4573 was up 144.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,287 EGP

2015 Average 4,828 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 4,861 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,425.11 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.4354

0.8443

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0563, compared to 1.4497 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3934 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0563

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4497

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.1328 EGP (High: 2.2442 / Low: 1.1113). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 EGP (High: 1.1125 / Low: 1.1090).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1328

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.3028) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9824), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3203 (+134.39%).

2016 Avg (December) 2.3028

2015 Avg (December) 0.9824

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9813	0.9723	0.9769
February	0.9793	0.9750	0.9771
March	1.1197	0.9757	1.0522
April	1.1125	1.1090	1.1113
May	1.1129	1.1077	1.1101
June	1.1124	1.1021	1.1100
July	1.1143	1.1073	1.1110
August	1.1125	1.1074	1.1109
September	1.1124	1.1079	1.1106
October	1.1143	1.1093	1.1110
November	2.2442	1.1113	1.9520
December	2.4573	2.2304	2.3028