YEARLY HIGH
0.9781 HKD
YEARLY LOW
0.9635 HKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9711 HKD

2026 MOP to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.9781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.9635.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0145 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9710 to the December average rate of 0.9710, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.9781 was down 0.81% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.9860, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,890 HKD
2025 Average 4,855 HKD
Yearly Trough Low 4,818 HKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 72.60 HKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.9715
0.9707
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9711, compared to 0.9710 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9711
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9710

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0103 HKD (High: 0.9738 / Low: 0.9635). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 HKD (High: 0.9712 / Low: 0.9704).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0103
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.9710) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.9708), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0002 (+0.02%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.9710
2025 Avg (January) 0.9708

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9781 0.9694 0.9710
February 0.9738 0.9635 0.9714
March 0.9757 0.9675 0.9714
April 0.9730 0.9669 0.9711
May 0.9712 0.9704 0.9709
June 0.9720 0.9692 0.9708
July 0.9746 0.9690 0.9710