2016 MOP to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.3705 KMF

YEARLY LOW

53.5625 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

55.4852 KMF

2016 MOP to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 59.3705. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 53.5625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8079 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.3451 to the December average rate of 58.4214, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.3705 was up 1.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 58.5638, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 296,852 KMF

2015 Average 277,789 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 267,813 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,039.75 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

58.8423

53.7912

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 54.9718, compared to 55.9986 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0268 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 54.9718

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 55.9986

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.9484 KMF (High: 58.1979 / Low: 55.2495). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7046 KMF (High: 55.5386 / Low: 54.8340).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.9484

September Spread (Stable) ±0.7046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.0437 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0437

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 58.4214) against the same month in 2015 (average: 56.4480), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9734 (+3.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 58.4214

2015 Avg (December) 56.4480

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.1407	55.2458	56.3451
February	56.4102	54.3243	55.3215
March	56.5222	54.6663	55.3774
April	54.8922	54.0557	54.3336
May	55.3883	53.5625	54.2122
June	55.0849	53.6795	54.2410
July	56.0490	53.8773	54.7627
August	55.9494	54.7767	55.5285
September	55.5386	54.8340	54.9916
October	56.1955	54.9306	55.4720
November	58.1979	55.2495	56.8154
December	59.3705	57.6510	58.4214