2011 MOP to LBP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

189.3253 LBP

YEARLY LOW

187.1628 LBP

YEARLY AVERAGE

187.8827 LBP

2011 MOP to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 8, valuing the pair at 189.3253. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 187.1628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1625 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 187.5379 to the December average rate of 188.0666, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 189.3253 was down 1.04% compared to the 2010 peak of 191.3205, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 946,627 LBP

2010 Average 938,981 LBP

Yearly Trough Low 935,814 LBP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,812.60 LBP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

188.5613

187.4250

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 187.8702, compared to 187.8952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 187.8702

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 187.8952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 1.3695 LBP (High: 188.9435 / Low: 187.5740). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4679 LBP (High: 188.3680 / Low: 187.9001).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.3695

December Spread (Stable) ±0.4679

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.6823 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6823

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 188.4666) against the same month in 2010 (average: 187.5490), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9176 (+0.49%).

2011 Avg (July) 188.4666

2010 Avg (July) 187.5490

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	187.9976	187.1628	187.5379
February	187.8607	187.2265	187.5748
March	187.7912	187.2627	187.5197
April	188.1737	187.3152	187.8909
May	188.6736	187.6997	188.2981
June	188.9435	187.5740	188.3999
July	189.3253	187.9646	188.4666
August	188.4851	187.4153	187.7842
September	187.8748	187.3734	187.6222
October	187.9445	187.4451	187.6888
November	188.1452	187.4575	187.7431
December	188.3680	187.9001	188.0666