2014 MOP to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.5938 LRD

YEARLY LOW

9.9885 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0472 LRD

2014 MOP to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 11.5938. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 9.9885.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6053 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4764 to the December average rate of 11.4473, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 11.5938 was up 13.82% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.1862, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,969 LRD

2013 Average 47,981 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 49,942 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,026.67 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

11.5958

10.1957

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6348, compared to 11.4596 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8248 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6348

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.4596

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 0.9128 LRD (High: 11.3361 / Low: 10.4232). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0662 LRD (High: 10.7276 / Low: 10.6614).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9128

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0662

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3895 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3895

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 11.4739) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.6805), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7934 (+18.53%).

2014 Avg (August) 11.4739

2013 Avg (August) 9.6805

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7305	10.1032	10.4764
February	10.7276	10.6614	10.7019
March	10.7140	9.9885	10.3124
April	10.7573	10.5826	10.6818
May	10.8331	10.1427	10.6137
June	11.3361	10.4232	11.0224
July	11.5880	11.3325	11.4791
August	11.5938	11.4318	11.4739
September	11.4807	11.3878	11.4483
October	11.5242	11.3891	11.4485
November	11.4999	11.4097	11.4604
December	11.4907	11.3930	11.4473