2016 MOP to LTL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4157 LTL

YEARLY LOW

0.3759 LTL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3861 LTL

2016 MOP to LTL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to LTL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.4157. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 0.3759.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0397 LTL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3880 to the December average rate of 0.4099, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4157 was up 5.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,078 LTL

2015 Average 1,893 LTL

Yearly Trough Low 1,880 LTL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 198.67 LTL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4131

0.3754

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LTL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3820, compared to 0.3901 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0080 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3820

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3901

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0230 LTL (High: 0.4083 / Low: 0.3853). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 LTL (High: 0.3874 / Low: 0.3846).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0230

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0053 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.4099) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3899), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0200 (+5.14%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.4099

2015 Avg (December) 0.3899

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3908	0.3843	0.3880
February	0.3887	0.3776	0.3828
March	0.3887	0.3783	0.3835
April	0.3802	0.3773	0.3786
May	0.3812	0.3759	0.3786
June	0.3865	0.3774	0.3806
July	0.3874	0.3846	0.3860
August	0.3855	0.3788	0.3822
September	0.3835	0.3790	0.3806
October	0.3893	0.3802	0.3853
November	0.4083	0.3853	0.3964
December	0.4157	0.4025	0.4099