YEARLY HIGH
202.2773 MMK
YEARLY LOW
163.2331 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
178.6585 MMK

2018 MOP to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 202.2773. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 163.2331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.0442 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 167.0532 to the December average rate of 194.3780, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 202.2773 was up 16.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 173.2923, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,011,386 MMK
2017 Average 848,221 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 816,165 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 195,221.11 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

201.5983
161.5526
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 166.6303, compared to 190.6867 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 24.0563 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 166.6303
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 190.6867

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 14.5681 MMK (High: 202.2773 / Low: 187.7092). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1211 MMK (High: 166.2010 / Low: 165.0799).

September Spread (Volatile) ±14.5681
March Spread (Stable) ±1.1211

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.8832 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8832

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 194.2459) against the same month in 2017 (average: 168.9567), the exchange rate shifted by +25.2892 (+14.97%).

2018 Avg (September) 194.2459
2017 Avg (September) 168.9567

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 168.2561 165.3415 167.0532
February 166.4183 164.2323 165.4166
March 166.2010 165.0799 165.5888
April 166.7616 163.2331 164.8898
May 167.9827 165.1461 167.0364
June 175.4759 167.0590 169.7974
July 180.4069 174.0631 176.8348
August 191.4057 180.3798 185.4896
September 202.2773 187.7092 194.2459
October 198.9374 188.6650 194.9106
November 199.2623 195.7349 198.2611
December 197.0337 191.4703 194.3780