YEARLY HIGH
2.2569 MXN
YEARLY LOW
2.1280 MXN
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1695 MXN

2026 MOP to MXN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to MXN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 2.2569. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 20, dropping to 2.1280.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1289 MXN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2006 to the December average rate of 2.1638, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2.2569 was down 13.36% compared to the 2025 peak of 2.6049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,284 MXN
2025 Average 11,962 MXN
Yearly Trough Low 10,640 MXN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 644.37 MXN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2.2175
2.1346
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to MXN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1705, compared to 2.1638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0067 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1705
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.1110 MXN (High: 2.2569 / Low: 2.1459). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 MXN (High: 2.1631 / Low: 2.1489).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1110
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0591 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0591

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 2.2106) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2.5296), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3190 (-12.61%).

2026 Avg (March) 2.2106
2025 Avg (March) 2.5296

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.2432 2.1372 2.2006
February 2.1763 2.1280 2.1415
March 2.2569 2.1459 2.2106
April 2.2212 2.1370 2.1647
May 2.1631 2.1489 2.1527
June 2.1789 2.1303 2.1527
July 2.1756 2.1532 2.1638