YEARLY HIGH
4.7830 SRD
YEARLY LOW
4.6057 SRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6665 SRD

2026 MOP to SRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to SRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 4.7830. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 1, dropping to 4.6057.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1773 SRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7574 to the December average rate of 4.6621, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.7830 was down 4.03% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.9838, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,915 SRD
2025 Average 23,202 SRD
Yearly Trough Low 23,029 SRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 886.57 SRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.7716
4.6011
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to SRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6672, compared to 4.6621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6672
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0814 SRD (High: 4.7003 / Low: 4.6189). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0354 SRD (High: 4.6411 / Low: 4.6057).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0814
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0354

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0592 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 4.7574) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.3767), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3807 (+8.70%).

2026 Avg (January) 4.7574
2025 Avg (January) 4.3767

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7830 4.7277 4.7574
February 4.7385 4.6717 4.6982
March 4.7003 4.6189 4.6590
April 4.6622 4.6176 4.6425
May 4.6411 4.6057 4.6153
June 4.6482 4.6057 4.6310
July 4.6868 4.6436 4.6621