YEARLY HIGH
5.8684 TRY
YEARLY LOW
5.3572 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5835 TRY

2026 MOP to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 5.8684. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 5.3572.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5113 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3846 to the December average rate of 5.8259, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5.8684 was up 9.43% compared to the 2025 peak of 5.3628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,342 TRY
2025 Average 24,649 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 26,786 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,556.27 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5.8700
5.3404
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5432, compared to 5.8259 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5432
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8259

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0962 TRY (High: 5.4622 / Low: 5.3660). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0760 TRY (High: 5.5271 / Low: 5.4511).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0962
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0760

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 5.8259) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.9808), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8450 (+16.97%).

2026 Avg (July) 5.8259
2025 Avg (July) 4.9808

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4446 5.3572 5.3846
February 5.4622 5.3660 5.4326
March 5.5271 5.4511 5.4879
April 5.5954 5.5114 5.5498
May 5.6888 5.5933 5.6698
June 5.7776 5.6867 5.7343
July 5.8684 5.7786 5.8259