2016 MOP to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2573 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.7848 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1337 VEF

2016 MOP to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 1.2573. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 0.7848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4724 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7885 to the December average rate of 1.2495, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2573 was up 56.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,286 VEF

2015 Average 3,957 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 3,924 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,362.23 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2956

0.7424

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0185, compared to 1.2489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2303 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0185

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0129 VEF (High: 1.2573 / Low: 1.2444). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 VEF (High: 1.2492 / Low: 1.2463).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0129

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 1.2493) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7919), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4574 (+57.76%).

2016 Avg (July) 1.2493

2015 Avg (July) 0.7919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7921	0.7848	0.7885
February	0.7902	0.7863	0.7885
March	0.7937	0.7887	0.7915
April	1.2492	1.2463	1.2484
May	1.2498	1.2453	1.2469
June	1.2492	1.2445	1.2474
July	1.2573	1.2444	1.2493
August	1.2500	1.2446	1.2486
September	1.2507	1.2455	1.2486
October	1.2524	1.2468	1.2489
November	1.2511	1.2449	1.2484
December	1.2520	1.2457	1.2495