YEARLY HIGH
1.0905 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.0302 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0592 KES

2021 ALL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ALL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.0905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 1.0302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0603 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0829 to the December average rate of 1.0571, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.0905 was down 11.37% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.2305, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,453 KES
2020 Average 4,916 KES
Yearly Trough Low 5,151 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 301.45 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.0867
1.0418
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.0632, compared to 1.0551 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0081 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.0632
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.0551

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0353 KES (High: 1.0655 / Low: 1.0302). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0119 KES (High: 1.0647 / Low: 1.0528).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0353
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0141 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.0829) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.9197), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1633 (+17.75%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.0829
2020 Avg (January) 0.9197

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Month High Low Average
January 1.0905 1.0757 1.0829
February 1.0859 1.0634 1.0725
March 1.0701 1.0427 1.0584
April 1.0655 1.0302 1.0479
May 1.0731 1.0434 1.0602
June 1.0693 1.0456 1.0572
July 1.0601 1.0395 1.0455
August 1.0660 1.0503 1.0579
September 1.0738 1.0519 1.0667
October 1.0647 1.0528 1.0570
November 1.0542 1.0377 1.0466
December 1.0649 1.0492 1.0571