YEARLY HIGH
0.3811 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.3222 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3410 BGN

2011 ARS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.3811. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 0.3222.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0590 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3678 to the December average rate of 0.3465, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.3811 was down 8.70% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4174, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,906 BGN
2010 Average 1,889 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 1,611 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 294.84 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.3719
0.3238
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.3449, compared to 0.3370 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0079 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.3449
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.3370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0270 BGN (High: 0.3530 / Low: 0.3260). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0109 BGN (High: 0.3619 / Low: 0.3509).

October Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0270
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0134 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0134

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.3678) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.3605), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0073 (+2.04%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.3678
2010 Avg (January) 0.3605

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3811 0.3570 0.3678
February 0.3619 0.3509 0.3565
March 0.3528 0.3399 0.3464
April 0.3412 0.3225 0.3330
May 0.3416 0.3222 0.3336
June 0.3397 0.3264 0.3322
July 0.3413 0.3270 0.3327
August 0.3340 0.3225 0.3278
September 0.3469 0.3262 0.3378
October 0.3530 0.3260 0.3382
November 0.3471 0.3341 0.3391
December 0.3531 0.3383 0.3465