YEARLY HIGH
120.4211 BIF
YEARLY LOW
99.2181 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
109.6440 BIF

2016 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 120.4211. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 99.2181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.2029 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 115.1969 to the December average rate of 105.7803, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 120.4211 was down 34.49% compared to the 2015 peak of 183.8242, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 602,105 BIF
2015 Average 851,209 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 496,091 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 106,014.66 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

116.2376
103.7494
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 109.5845, compared to 109.7034 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.1188 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 109.5845
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 109.7034

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 12.0380 BIF (High: 111.2561 / Low: 99.2181). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.1732 BIF (High: 110.3912 / Low: 108.2180).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒12.0380
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒2.1732

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 9.6130 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.6130

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 115.1969) against the same month in 2015 (average: 182.2993), the exchange rate shifted by -67.1024 (-36.81%).

2016 Avg (January) 115.1969
2015 Avg (January) 182.2993

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Month High Low Average
January 120.4211 112.4789 115.1969
February 111.2561 99.2181 105.5839
March 108.3745 99.7755 104.7901
April 110.9940 104.4285 107.9736
May 111.9944 108.6513 110.4246
June 120.3120 110.0908 113.5381
July 113.7553 109.7593 111.2970
August 113.3290 110.5645 112.0170
September 111.6834 108.5202 110.2656
October 110.3912 108.2180 109.7990
November 111.5679 105.9911 109.0614
December 108.8038 104.5981 105.7803