2016 ARS to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0976 GMD

YEARLY LOW

2.4892 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8491 GMD

2016 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 3.0976. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 2.4892.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6084 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9140 to the December average rate of 2.7029, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.0976 was down 38.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.0608, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,488 GMD

2015 Average 22,425 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 12,446 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,042.03 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.0633

2.6358

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8878, compared to 2.8104 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0774 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8878

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8104

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4589 GMD (High: 2.9481 / Low: 2.4892). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0474 GMD (High: 2.8215 / Low: 2.7740).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4589

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0474

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2425 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2425

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 3.0209) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.7040), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6831 (-35.78%).

2016 Avg (June) 3.0209

2015 Avg (June) 4.7040

मासिक विश्लेषण

प्रत्येक कॅलेंडर महिन्यासाठी सांख्यिकीय सारांश.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0523	2.8361	2.9140
February	2.8052	2.4965	2.6715
March	2.9481	2.4892	2.7281
April	3.0393	2.8896	2.9644
May	3.0748	2.9841	3.0277
June	3.0976	2.8114	3.0209
July	2.9353	2.8335	2.8659
August	2.9275	2.8295	2.8750
September	2.8548	2.7719	2.8230
October	2.8215	2.7740	2.8105
November	2.8474	2.7247	2.7852
December	2.7600	2.6523	2.7029

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