YEARLY HIGH
9.2746 JMD
YEARLY LOW
7.6753 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.4864 JMD

2016 ARS to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 9.2746. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 7.6753.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5993 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8858 to the December average rate of 8.1382, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.2746 was down 31.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.4772, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,373 JMD
2015 Average 63,403 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 38,377 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,996.33 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.9606
8.0634
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 8.5584, compared to 8.4143 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.1441 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 8.5584
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 8.4143

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.9274 JMD (High: 8.6027 / Low: 7.6753). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1893 JMD (High: 8.6478 / Low: 8.4585).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.9274
August Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1893

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6817 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6817

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 8.8858) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.3731), the exchange rate shifted by -4.4872 (-33.55%).

2016 Avg (January) 8.8858
2015 Avg (January) 13.3731

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Month High Low Average
January 9.2746 8.6638 8.8858
February 8.6027 7.6753 8.2042
March 8.4159 7.7095 8.1567
April 8.6882 8.2371 8.4759
May 8.9680 8.5964 8.7592
June 9.1158 8.2297 8.8687
July 8.6788 8.3919 8.4920
August 8.6478 8.4585 8.5433
September 8.5181 8.3155 8.4397
October 8.5227 8.3129 8.4490
November 8.6350 8.1726 8.4236
December 8.3164 8.0293 8.1382