YEARLY HIGH
0.9297 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.4096 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6415 MDL

2018 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.9297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.4096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5201 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8923 to the December average rate of 0.4544, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9297 was down 28.60% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.3020, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,648 MDL
2017 Average 5,602 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 2,048 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,600.59 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9379
0.3907
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.7851, compared to 0.4979 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.2872 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.7851
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.4979

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1747 MDL (High: 0.6073 / Low: 0.4327). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 MDL (High: 0.8176 / Low: 0.8053).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1747
April Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1243 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.8923) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2627), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3704 (-29.33%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.8923
2017 Avg (January) 1.2627

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Month High Low Average
January 0.9297 0.8487 0.8923
February 0.8662 0.8243 0.8410
March 0.8270 0.8126 0.8196
April 0.8176 0.8053 0.8126
May 0.8013 0.6602 0.7102
June 0.6795 0.5847 0.6346
July 0.6136 0.5821 0.6052
August 0.6073 0.4327 0.5606
September 0.4549 0.4096 0.4363
October 0.4762 0.4292 0.4597
November 0.4831 0.4408 0.4710
December 0.4679 0.4421 0.4544