YEARLY HIGH
0.4377 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.1953 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3088 MOP

2018 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.4377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.1953.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2424 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4239 to the December average rate of 0.2132, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4377 was down 17.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5304, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,188 MOP
2017 Average 2,430 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 976 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,211.92 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4453
0.1882
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.3796, compared to 0.2380 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.1416 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.3796
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.2380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0878 MOP (High: 0.2965 / Low: 0.2087). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 MOP (High: 0.4016 / Low: 0.3961).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0878
March Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0629 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0629

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4239) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5028), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0789 (-15.69%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4239
2017 Avg (January) 0.5028

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4377 0.4097 0.4239
February 0.4159 0.3987 0.4064
March 0.4016 0.3961 0.3994
April 0.4016 0.3934 0.3993
May 0.3914 0.3233 0.3443
June 0.3246 0.2796 0.3041
July 0.2972 0.2790 0.2927
August 0.2965 0.2087 0.2725
September 0.2195 0.1953 0.2096
October 0.2256 0.2042 0.2181
November 0.2280 0.2062 0.2219
December 0.2205 0.2101 0.2132