YEARLY HIGH
1.1848 MVR
YEARLY LOW
0.9498 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0364 MVR

2016 ARS to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.1848. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.9498.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2350 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1292 to the December average rate of 0.9672, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1848 was down 34.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7987, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,924 MVR
2015 Average 8,307 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 4,749 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,174.75 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1454
0.9510
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.0689, compared to 1.0039 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0651 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.0689
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.0039

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1245 MVR (High: 1.0883 / Low: 0.9638). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0149 MVR (High: 1.0099 / Low: 0.9950).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1245
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0149

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0938 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0938

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.1292) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7761), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6469 (-36.42%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.1292
2015 Avg (January) 1.7761

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Month High Low Average
January 1.1848 1.0963 1.1292
February 1.0883 0.9638 1.0355
March 1.0613 0.9717 1.0246
April 1.0854 1.0223 1.0601
May 1.1014 1.0710 1.0829
June 1.1122 1.0014 1.0815
July 1.0417 1.0070 1.0195
August 1.0361 1.0107 1.0234
September 1.0205 0.9945 1.0111
October 1.0099 0.9950 1.0055
November 1.0234 0.9663 0.9966
December 0.9944 0.9498 0.9672