YEARLY HIGH
4.6607 NGN
YEARLY LOW
4.0041 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2492 NGN

2021 ARS to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.6607. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 4.0041.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6567 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5155 to the December average rate of 4.0379, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.6607 was down 23.71% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.1093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,304 NGN
2020 Average 27,172 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 20,020 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,283.26 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.5633
3.9901
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.3351, compared to 4.1634 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.1717 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.3351
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.1634

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.4151 NGN (High: 4.4808 / Low: 4.0657). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0460 NGN (High: 4.2539 / Low: 4.2080).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.4151
August Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0460

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1335 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1335

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.5155) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.0456), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5301 (-25.31%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.5155
2020 Avg (January) 6.0456

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Month High Low Average
January 4.6607 4.3584 4.5155
February 4.6235 4.2411 4.3962
March 4.4990 4.1467 4.2626
April 4.4808 4.0657 4.2170
May 4.3983 4.0420 4.2986
June 4.3545 4.2856 4.3205
July 4.3018 4.2547 4.2750
August 4.2539 4.2080 4.2358
September 4.2111 4.1646 4.1904
October 4.1715 4.1156 4.1448
November 4.1323 4.0602 4.0963
December 4.0714 4.0041 4.0379