YEARLY HIGH
0.3860 PGK
YEARLY LOW
0.2924 PGK
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3180 PGK

2014 ARS to PGK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to PGK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.3860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 0.2924.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0936 PGK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3598 to the December average rate of 0.3020, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3860 was down 15.63% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4576, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,930 PGK
2013 Average 2,097 PGK
Yearly Trough Low 1,462 PGK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 468.16 PGK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3662
0.2883
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PGK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.3380, compared to 0.2980 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0400 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.3380
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.2980

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0726 PGK (High: 0.3860 / Low: 0.3134). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 PGK (High: 0.3019 / Low: 0.2984).

January Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0726
July Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0350 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0350

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.3598) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.4211), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0613 (-14.56%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.3598
2013 Avg (January) 0.4211

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Month High Low Average
January 0.3860 0.3134 0.3598
February 0.3313 0.3140 0.3247
March 0.3403 0.3146 0.3302
April 0.3501 0.3314 0.3437
May 0.3568 0.3472 0.3503
June 0.3555 0.2982 0.3195
July 0.3019 0.2984 0.2995
August 0.2983 0.2930 0.2965
September 0.2975 0.2924 0.2948
October 0.2982 0.2924 0.2960
November 0.3023 0.2965 0.2995
December 0.3055 0.2986 0.3020