YEARLY HIGH
0.5679 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.4864 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5192 PHP

2021 ARS to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.5679. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.4864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0815 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5597 to the December average rate of 0.4941, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.5679 was down 33.64% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.8558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,840 PHP
2020 Average 3,558 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 2,432 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 407.39 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.5663
0.4875
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.5293, compared to 0.5092 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0201 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.5293
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.5092

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 0.0215 PHP (High: 0.5228 / Low: 0.5012). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 PHP (High: 0.5484 / Low: 0.5420).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0215
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0152 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0152

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.5597) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.8483), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2886 (-34.02%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.5597
2020 Avg (January) 0.8483

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Month High Low Average
January 0.5679 0.5506 0.5597
February 0.5484 0.5420 0.5445
March 0.5392 0.5272 0.5332
April 0.5292 0.5160 0.5228
May 0.5160 0.5039 0.5092
June 0.5112 0.5017 0.5060
July 0.5289 0.5127 0.5202
August 0.5228 0.5012 0.5166
September 0.5188 0.5066 0.5111
October 0.5153 0.5049 0.5113
November 0.5068 0.4968 0.5019
December 0.5001 0.4864 0.4941