YEARLY HIGH
394.5312 UGX
YEARLY LOW
255.3624 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
350.6826 UGX

2015 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 2, valuing the pair at 394.5312. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 255.3624.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 139.1688 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 331.7105 to the December average rate of 302.8239, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 394.5312 was up 1.88% compared to the 2014 peak of 387.2581, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,972,656 UGX
2014 Average 1,604,525 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,276,812 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 695,843.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

400.0401
293.9861
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 337.2721, compared to 364.0931 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 26.8211 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 337.2721
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 364.0931

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 97.7282 UGX (High: 353.0906 / Low: 255.3624). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9233 UGX (High: 332.3198 / Low: 329.3965).

December Spread (Volatile) ┬▒97.7282
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒2.9233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 53.7138 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -53.7138

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 391.2022) against the same month in 2014 (average: 311.1394), the exchange rate shifted by +80.0629 (+25.73%).

2015 Avg (September) 391.2022
2014 Avg (September) 311.1394

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 336.9154 323.9741 331.7105
February 332.3198 329.3965 330.7596
March 344.5114 329.5508 335.5144
April 343.1706 335.4592 338.0303
May 339.5214 333.7139 335.7618
June 363.5764 340.1438 351.8558
July 387.3635 357.4386 366.3430
August 392.9856 372.7689 383.2495
September 394.5312 388.8604 391.2022
October 391.6691 371.4548 384.4025
November 373.6823 346.6644 356.5376
December 353.0906 255.3624 302.8239