YEARLY HIGH
638.1842 CDF
YEARLY LOW
499.7159 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
547.1964 CDF

2016 BGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 638.1842. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 499.7159.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 138.4683 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 514.8895 to the December average rate of 627.5604, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 638.1842 was up 11.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 572.1873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,190,921 CDF
2015 Average 2,628,725 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,498,580 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 692,341.49 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

638.8275
503.6224
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 530.6199, compared to 563.7728 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 33.1530 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 530.6199
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 563.7728

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 120.3570 CDF (High: 620.0729 / Low: 499.7159). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.7501 CDF (High: 518.6579 / Low: 510.9078).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒120.3570
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒7.7501

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 11.4141 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.4141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 627.5604) against the same month in 2015 (average: 516.4281), the exchange rate shifted by +111.1322 (+21.52%).

2016 Avg (December) 627.5604
2015 Avg (December) 516.4281

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 518.6579 510.9078 514.8895
February 536.7710 515.5289 527.0547
March 538.6046 513.2110 527.7830
April 542.7876 532.9108 537.9930
May 546.7311 527.3580 535.9363
June 558.4480 524.6297 540.0627
July 557.5391 533.9353 538.6490
August 568.3837 551.1901 559.5909
September 562.9865 555.0470 559.4373
October 562.3506 536.8880 548.0232
November 620.0729 499.7159 549.3763
December 638.1842 618.2060 627.5604