YEARLY HIGH
4.6308 BGN
YEARLY LOW
4.2077 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3872 BGN

2021 BHD to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BHD to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 24, valuing the pair at 4.6308. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 4.2077.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4231 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2618 to the December average rate of 4.5910, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.6308 was down 4.59% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.8535, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,154 BGN
2020 Average 22,744 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 21,038 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,115.64 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.6239
4.2289
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.3058, compared to 4.4687 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.1629 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.3058
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.4687

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1595 BGN (High: 4.6308 / Low: 4.4713). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0415 BGN (High: 4.4096 / Low: 4.3680).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1595
July Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0415

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0660 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0660

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 4.5473) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.3796), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1677 (+3.83%).

2021 Avg (November) 4.5473
2020 Avg (November) 4.3796

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Month High Low Average
January 4.2956 4.2077 4.2618
February 4.3305 4.2602 4.2883
March 4.4320 4.2934 4.3611
April 4.4141 4.2839 4.3391
May 4.3216 4.2348 4.2731
June 4.3788 4.2422 4.3113
July 4.4096 4.3680 4.3868
August 4.4443 4.3698 4.4088
September 4.4802 4.3649 4.4048
October 4.5008 4.4419 4.4735
November 4.6308 4.4713 4.5473
December 4.6113 4.5692 4.5910