YEARLY HIGH
4.8774 HNL
YEARLY LOW
4.1214 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4726 HNL

2021 BRL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BRL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 24, valuing the pair at 4.8774. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 8, dropping to 4.1214.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7560 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5264 to the December average rate of 4.2943, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.8774 was down 20.59% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.1423, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 121,935 HNL
2020 Average 121,071 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 103,036 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,899.24 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.8293
4.2455
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.4903, compared to 4.4550 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0354 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.4903
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.4550

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.3128 HNL (High: 4.5181 / Low: 4.2054). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1451 HNL (High: 4.3840 / Low: 4.2389).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.3128
December Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1451

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2037 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 4.7807) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8067), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0260 (-0.54%).

2021 Avg (June) 4.7807
2020 Avg (June) 4.8067

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6820 4.4069 4.5264
February 4.5317 4.2991 4.4761
March 4.4074 4.1214 4.2942
April 4.5181 4.2054 4.3182
May 4.6138 4.4288 4.5464
June 4.8774 4.6766 4.7807
July 4.7421 4.5254 4.6239
August 4.6325 4.3855 4.5275
September 4.6365 4.4395 4.5697
October 4.5061 4.2574 4.3660
November 4.4635 4.2537 4.3484
December 4.3840 4.2389 4.2943