YEARLY HIGH
0.8530 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.7324 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7935 MOP

2018 BWP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BWP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 0.8530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.7324.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1206 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8265 to the December average rate of 0.7535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8530 was up 4.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8190, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,265 MOP
2017 Average 3,880 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 3,662 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 603.09 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8537
0.7390
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BWP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.8260, compared to 0.7609 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0651 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.8260
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.7609

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0446 MOP (High: 0.7877 / Low: 0.7431). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0152 MOP (High: 0.7594 / Low: 0.7442).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0446
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0241 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0241

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.8441) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7732), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0709 (+9.17%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.8441
2017 Avg (March) 0.7732

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Month High Low Average
January 0.8437 0.8149 0.8265
February 0.8522 0.8316 0.8432
March 0.8530 0.8373 0.8441
April 0.8459 0.8225 0.8367
May 0.8247 0.8059 0.8149
June 0.8122 0.7741 0.7909
July 0.7919 0.7734 0.7844
August 0.7877 0.7431 0.7646
September 0.7624 0.7324 0.7485
October 0.7594 0.7442 0.7564
November 0.7667 0.7483 0.7578
December 0.7686 0.7469 0.7535