YEARLY HIGH
1.4504 MNT
YEARLY LOW
1.4129 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4321 MNT

2021 CDF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 1.4504. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 1.4129.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0375 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4461 to the December average rate of 1.4290, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.4504 was down 24.41% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.9188, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,252 MNT
2020 Average 7,612 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 7,065 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 187.40 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.4483
1.4226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.4356, compared to 1.4287 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0070 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.4356
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.4287

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0248 MNT (High: 1.4377 / Low: 1.4129). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 MNT (High: 1.4433 / Low: 1.4345).

October Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0248
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0072 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.4461) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.6027), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1566 (-9.77%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.4461
2020 Avg (January) 1.6027

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Month High Low Average
January 1.4504 1.4408 1.4461
February 1.4433 1.4345 1.4407
March 1.4471 1.4252 1.4345
April 1.4433 1.4247 1.4337
May 1.4350 1.4241 1.4285
June 1.4356 1.4255 1.4302
July 1.4387 1.4219 1.4305
August 1.4389 1.4288 1.4343
September 1.4319 1.4180 1.4271
October 1.4377 1.4129 1.4263
November 1.4293 1.4189 1.4248
December 1.4419 1.4236 1.4290