2012 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.9094 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.4932 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7224 UGX

2012 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 2.9094. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 2.4932.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4162 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6461 to the December average rate of 2.8882, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.9094 was down 8.31% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.1730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,547 UGX

2011 Average 13,848 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,466 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,081.10 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.9220

2.5171

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6761, compared to 2.7688 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0927 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6761

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7688

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.1807 UGX (High: 2.7316 / Low: 2.5510). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0404 UGX (High: 2.9094 / Low: 2.8690).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1807

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0404

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0953 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0953

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 2.8882) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.7096), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1786 (+6.59%).

2012 Avg (December) 2.8882

2011 Avg (December) 2.7096

मासिक विश्लेषण

प्रत्येक कॅलेंडर महिन्यासाठी सांख्यिकीय सारांश.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7316	2.5510	2.6461
February	2.6729	2.4932	2.5508
March	2.8075	2.6480	2.7086
April	2.7633	2.6836	2.7322
May	2.7518	2.6723	2.7066
June	2.7406	2.6611	2.7123
July	2.7090	2.6614	2.6848
August	2.7302	2.6797	2.6970
September	2.7719	2.6963	2.7230
October	2.8117	2.7559	2.7915
November	2.8944	2.7855	2.8281
December	2.9094	2.8690	2.8882

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