YEARLY HIGH
0.6371 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.5982 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6160 KES

2021 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 0.6371. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 0.5982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0390 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6170 to the December average rate of 0.6346, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.6371 was up 1.65% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.6268, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,186 KES
2020 Average 2,991 KES
Yearly Trough Low 2,991 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 194.86 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.6377
0.6006
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.6109, compared to 0.6212 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.6109
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.6212

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0133 KES (High: 0.6132 / Low: 0.5999). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 KES (High: 0.6063 / Low: 0.6049).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0133
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0095 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0095

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.6346) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.6207), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0139 (+2.24%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.6346
2020 Avg (December) 0.6207

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

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Month High Low Average
January 0.6193 0.6134 0.6170
February 0.6188 0.6145 0.6160
March 0.6173 0.6149 0.6162
April 0.6132 0.5999 0.6068
May 0.6080 0.5982 0.6037
June 0.6063 0.6049 0.6056
July 0.6104 0.6061 0.6077
August 0.6173 0.6090 0.6139
September 0.6207 0.6173 0.6188
October 0.6249 0.6206 0.6229
November 0.6322 0.6252 0.6291
December 0.6371 0.6309 0.6346