YEARLY HIGH
94.5227 UGX
YEARLY LOW
15.6622 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
82.1812 UGX

2021 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 94.5227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 15.6622.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 78.8605 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 93.6483 to the December average rate of 71.2800, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 94.5227 was down 21.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 120.1430, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 472,614 UGX
2020 Average 533,959 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 78,311 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 394,302.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

95.8851
69.0432
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 87.9949, compared to 76.3674 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 11.6275 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 87.9949
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 76.3674

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 58.8233 UGX (High: 74.4855 / Low: 15.6622). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4467 UGX (High: 82.2427 / Low: 80.7960).

December Spread (Volatile) ┬▒58.8233
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒1.4467

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3.7675 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7675

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 93.6483) against the same month in 2020 (average: 114.7425), the exchange rate shifted by -21.0942 (-18.38%).

2021 Avg (January) 93.6483
2020 Avg (January) 114.7425

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 94.5227 92.4168 93.6483
February 93.1727 90.8262 92.0581
March 91.2079 88.7722 90.4412
April 89.3189 85.1810 87.0983
May 85.3546 81.4707 83.3307
June 82.2427 80.7960 81.3930
July 81.4403 79.9583 80.5898
August 80.3839 77.3847 78.4038
September 77.6746 75.9259 76.6280
October 77.5949 75.1056 76.4923
November 75.7192 74.1957 74.8105
December 74.4855 15.6622 71.2800