YEARLY HIGH
207.9266 AOA
YEARLY LOW
177.8966 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
194.8208 AOA

2021 GEL to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 20, valuing the pair at 207.9266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 177.8966.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.0300 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 198.5329 to the December average rate of 182.0070, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 207.9266 was up 1.23% compared to the 2020 peak of 205.4031, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,039,633 AOA
2020 Average 928,188 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 889,483 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 150,150.08 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

208.0349
179.6409
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 194.3451, compared to 195.2965 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.9513 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 194.3451
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 195.2965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 11.4295 AOA (High: 204.0880 / Low: 192.6585). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0670 AOA (High: 199.4235 / Low: 196.3565).

September Spread (Volatile) ┬▒11.4295
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒3.0670

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 10.0573 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.0573

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 205.6688) against the same month in 2020 (average: 185.4035), the exchange rate shifted by +20.2652 (+10.93%).

2021 Avg (July) 205.6688
2020 Avg (July) 185.4035

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 199.4235 196.3565 198.5329
February 198.2514 190.8745 196.6769
March 189.3519 183.6217 186.6197
April 190.6609 183.1332 187.2465
May 197.2764 189.1130 192.8906
June 206.7633 196.9325 204.1042
July 207.9266 203.8218 205.6688
August 207.7166 203.5256 205.4756
September 204.0880 192.6585 198.8702
October 192.6045 189.5238 190.8073
November 191.0083 181.1340 188.9499
December 184.1206 177.8966 182.0070