YEARLY HIGH
2.6234 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.3098 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4917 MOP

2021 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 2.6234. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 25, dropping to 2.3098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3136 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4188 to the December average rate of 2.5942, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.6234 was down 9.14% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.8874, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,117 MOP
2020 Average 12,864 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 11,549 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,568.07 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.6207
2.3032
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 2.4103, compared to 2.5731 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.1628 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 2.4103
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 2.5731

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.1430 MOP (High: 2.4538 / Low: 2.3108). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0104 MOP (High: 2.5838 / Low: 2.5734).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1430
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0104

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0673 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0673

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 2.5942) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.4241), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1701 (+7.02%).

2021 Avg (December) 2.5942
2020 Avg (December) 2.4241

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Month High Low Average
January 2.4463 2.4086 2.4188
February 2.4247 2.3954 2.4099
March 2.4082 2.3482 2.3969
April 2.3542 2.3098 2.3296
May 2.4538 2.3108 2.3716
June 2.5725 2.4515 2.5350
July 2.6040 2.5270 2.5633
August 2.6051 2.5706 2.5857
September 2.5838 2.5734 2.5789
October 2.5779 2.5429 2.5573
November 2.5956 2.5322 2.5590
December 2.6234 2.5681 2.5942