YEARLY HIGH
6.5557 SCR
YEARLY LOW
4.0347 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0063 SCR

2021 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 6.5557. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 4.0347.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5210 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4276 to the December average rate of 4.3499, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.5557 was up 1.21% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.4776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,779 SCR
2020 Average 27,481 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 20,174 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,604.97 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.6479
4.0045
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 5.6017, compared to 4.4109 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 1.1908 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 5.6017
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.4109

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.0383 SCR (High: 6.0730 / Low: 4.0347). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1584 SCR (High: 6.5557 / Low: 6.3973).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.0383
January Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1584

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.5148 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.4276) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.7478), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6798 (+35.38%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.4276
2020 Avg (January) 4.7478

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Month High Low Average
January 6.5557 6.3973 6.4276
February 6.4958 6.2747 6.3883
March 6.4407 6.0844 6.3445
April 6.0730 4.0347 4.8297
May 5.0608 4.2799 4.6786
June 5.3139 4.6448 4.9412
July 5.2079 4.2984 4.7403
August 4.9515 4.1123 4.4311
September 4.5212 4.1148 4.2248
October 4.7443 4.0747 4.4119
November 4.7576 4.1128 4.3072
December 4.8246 4.1094 4.3499