YEARLY HIGH
2.1567 KES
YEARLY LOW
2.0783 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1287 KES

2021 GMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 2.1567. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 2.0783.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0784 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1276 to the December average rate of 2.1510, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.1567 was up 0.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.1565, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,784 KES
2020 Average 10,342 KES
Yearly Trough Low 10,392 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 391.87 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.1562
2.0934
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 2.1194, compared to 2.1380 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0186 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 2.1194
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 2.1380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0397 KES (High: 2.1181 / Low: 2.0783). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 KES (High: 2.1113 / Low: 2.1057).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0397
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0271 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0271

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 2.1510) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.1349), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0161 (+0.75%).

2021 Avg (December) 2.1510
2020 Avg (December) 2.1349

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Month High Low Average
January 2.1391 2.1115 2.1276
February 2.1422 2.1252 2.1326
March 2.1446 2.1310 2.1382
April 2.1261 2.0937 2.1111
May 2.1181 2.0783 2.0987
June 2.1113 2.1057 2.1081
July 2.1234 2.1090 2.1145
August 2.1469 2.1230 2.1371
September 2.1510 2.1132 2.1421
October 2.1507 2.1300 2.1392
November 2.1517 2.1380 2.1445
December 2.1567 2.1392 2.1510