YEARLY HIGH
1.5130 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.3350 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4310 RUB

2021 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 12, valuing the pair at 1.5130. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 1.3350.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1780 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4418 to the December average rate of 1.4060, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.5130 was down 4.87% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.5905, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,565 RUB
2020 Average 7,023 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 6,675 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 889.82 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.4986
1.3648
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 1.4486, compared to 1.4134 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0352 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 1.4486
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.4134

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0854 RUB (High: 1.4419 / Low: 1.3565). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0210 RUB (High: 1.4179 / Low: 1.3968).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0854
December Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0210

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0433 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0433

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 1.4875) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.4695), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0179 (+1.22%).

2021 Avg (April) 1.4875
2020 Avg (April) 1.4695

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Month High Low Average
January 1.4798 1.4170 1.4418
February 1.4796 1.4263 1.4457
March 1.4945 1.4199 1.4530
April 1.5130 1.4545 1.4875
May 1.4720 1.4303 1.4442
June 1.4379 1.4018 1.4192
July 1.4628 1.4301 1.4456
August 1.4536 1.4267 1.4382
September 1.4341 1.3971 1.4174
October 1.4118 1.3350 1.3760
November 1.4419 1.3565 1.3973
December 1.4179 1.3968 1.4060