YEARLY HIGH
83.6222 BIF
YEARLY LOW
78.0426 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
81.9027 BIF

2021 HNL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 83.6222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 78.0426.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5795 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.2952 to the December average rate of 82.2646, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 83.6222 was up 4.09% compared to the 2020 peak of 80.3392, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 418,111 BIF
2020 Average 387,034 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 390,213 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,897.64 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

83.7186
79.9840
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 81.1067, compared to 82.6988 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 1.5921 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 81.1067
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 82.6988

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 2.6823 BIF (High: 80.7249 / Low: 78.0426). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2321 BIF (High: 82.6132 / Low: 82.3811).

January Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.6823
November Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.2321

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.8836 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8836

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 83.4074) against the same month in 2020 (average: 78.0049), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4024 (+6.93%).

2021 Avg (August) 83.4074
2020 Avg (August) 78.0049

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Month High Low Average
January 80.7249 78.0426 80.2952
February 80.9970 80.0423 80.4701
March 81.3665 80.2659 80.7607
April 81.5789 80.6462 81.1158
May 82.2921 81.0086 81.7344
June 82.8298 81.9502 82.2639
July 83.5274 82.4158 83.0119
August 83.6222 82.8563 83.4074
September 83.1300 82.1581 82.5238
October 82.7201 82.2434 82.4741
November 82.6132 82.3811 82.5106
December 82.7099 81.7972 82.2646