YEARLY HIGH
2.1540 MOP
YEARLY LOW
1.9527 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.0744 MOP

2012 ILS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ILS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 2.1540. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 1.9527.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2013 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0995 to the December average rate of 2.1125, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.1540 was down 9.57% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.3819, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,770 MOP
2011 Average 11,218 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 9,764 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,006.55 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.1522
1.9760
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 2.1068, compared to 2.0420 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0647 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 2.1068
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 2.0420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0916 MOP (High: 2.0443 / Low: 1.9527). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0245 MOP (High: 2.1479 / Low: 2.1234).

July Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0916
April Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0245

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0503 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0503

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 2.1375) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.1903), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0528 (-2.41%).

2012 Avg (February) 2.1375
2011 Avg (February) 2.1903

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Month High Low Average
January 2.1386 2.0757 2.0995
February 2.1540 2.1176 2.1375
March 2.1512 2.0979 2.1250
April 2.1479 2.1234 2.1333
May 2.1228 2.0535 2.0905
June 2.0741 2.0260 2.0547
July 2.0443 1.9527 2.0044
August 2.0245 1.9717 1.9907
September 2.0521 1.9798 2.0249
October 2.1014 2.0433 2.0724
November 2.0908 2.0122 2.0472
December 2.1443 2.0827 2.1125