YEARLY HIGH
0.9706 ALL
YEARLY LOW
0.9170 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9443 ALL

2021 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 0.9706. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.9170.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0537 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9234 to the December average rate of 0.9460, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.9706 was down 19.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.2031, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,853 ALL
2020 Average 5,105 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 4,585 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 268.31 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.9598
0.9201
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.9407, compared to 0.9478 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.0071 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.9407
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.9478

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0321 ALL (High: 0.9706 / Low: 0.9385). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0106 ALL (High: 0.9498 / Low: 0.9392).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0321
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0112 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 0.9543) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.0845), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1301 (-12.00%).

2021 Avg (April) 0.9543
2020 Avg (April) 1.0845

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Month High Low Average
January 0.9297 0.9170 0.9234
February 0.9403 0.9209 0.9324
March 0.9591 0.9345 0.9449
April 0.9706 0.9385 0.9543
May 0.9584 0.9319 0.9433
June 0.9564 0.9352 0.9460
July 0.9620 0.9433 0.9565
August 0.9521 0.9381 0.9453
September 0.9507 0.9313 0.9375
October 0.9498 0.9392 0.9461
November 0.9637 0.9486 0.9555
December 0.9531 0.9390 0.9460