YEARLY HIGH
0.4812 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.4637 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4698 GMD

2021 KES to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 0.4812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 0.4637.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0175 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4700 to the December average rate of 0.4649, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.4812 was down 5.56% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.5095, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,406 GMD
2020 Average 2,419 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 2,318 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 87.42 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.4777
0.4637
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.4719, compared to 0.4677 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0041 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.4719
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.4677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0090 GMD (High: 0.4812 / Low: 0.4721). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 GMD (High: 0.4749 / Low: 0.4736).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0090
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0050 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0050

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.4765) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4813), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0048 (-0.99%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.4765
2020 Avg (May) 0.4813

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4736 0.4675 0.4700
February 0.4705 0.4668 0.4689
March 0.4693 0.4663 0.4677
April 0.4776 0.4703 0.4737
May 0.4812 0.4721 0.4765
June 0.4749 0.4736 0.4744
July 0.4742 0.4709 0.4729
August 0.4710 0.4658 0.4679
September 0.4732 0.4649 0.4668
October 0.4695 0.4650 0.4675
November 0.4677 0.4647 0.4663
December 0.4675 0.4637 0.4649