YEARLY HIGH
17.7556 MMK
YEARLY LOW
12.0307 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.6892 MMK

2021 KES to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 17.7556. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 12.0307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7249 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.1049 to the December average rate of 15.7584, the exchange rate registered a net change of 30.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 17.7556 was up 21.36% compared to the 2020 peak of 14.6308, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 88,778 MMK
2020 Average 64,717 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 60,154 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,624.43 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

17.5235
11.6123
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 13.5325, compared to 15.8459 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 2.3134 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 13.5325
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 15.8459

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 2.0018 MMK (High: 16.9514 / Low: 14.9496). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0362 MMK (High: 15.2840 / Low: 15.2478).

September Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.0018
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0362

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0626 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 17.0309) against the same month in 2020 (average: 11.8928), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1381 (+43.20%).

2021 Avg (October) 17.0309
2020 Avg (October) 11.8928

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Month High Low Average
January 12.2067 12.0307 12.1049
February 12.8904 12.0501 12.7778
March 12.8804 12.8306 12.8519
April 14.4439 12.9094 13.3281
May 15.3120 14.4436 14.8641
June 15.2840 15.2478 15.2682
July 15.2609 15.1555 15.2155
August 15.1589 14.9768 15.0587
September 16.9514 14.9496 16.0438
October 17.7556 16.1354 17.0309
November 16.3856 15.7664 15.9683
December 15.8922 15.7139 15.7584