YEARLY HIGH
33.9940 UGX
YEARLY LOW
31.2807 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.7166 UGX

2021 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 9, valuing the pair at 33.9940. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 31.2807.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7133 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.5800 to the December average rate of 31.4654, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 33.9940 was down 8.20% compared to the 2020 peak of 37.0300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 169,970 UGX
2020 Average 174,661 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 156,404 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,566.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

33.7978
31.2533
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 33.3149, compared to 32.1184 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 1.1964 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 33.3149
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 32.1184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.9109 UGX (High: 33.9940 / Low: 33.0832). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1509 UGX (High: 33.5152 / Low: 33.3643).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.9109
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.1509

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5286 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5286

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 33.5857) against the same month in 2020 (average: 35.5256), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9398 (-5.46%).

2021 Avg (April) 33.5857
2020 Avg (April) 35.5256

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 33.8620 33.3084 33.5800
February 33.5152 33.3643 33.4386
March 33.4799 33.3154 33.3826
April 33.9940 33.0832 33.5857
May 33.3851 32.8584 33.0649
June 33.0012 32.6023 32.8372
July 33.0241 32.6589 32.8352
August 32.7170 32.1669 32.3678
September 32.2182 31.9168 32.0420
October 32.7095 31.9459 32.2644
November 31.9552 31.5099 31.7358
December 31.6605 31.2807 31.4654