YEARLY HIGH
12.2319 RSD
YEARLY LOW
10.0043 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.9993 RSD

2012 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 12.2319. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 10.0043.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2277 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1740 to the December average rate of 10.8264, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 12.2319 was up 19.27% compared to the 2011 peak of 10.2561, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 61,160 RSD
2011 Average 45,597 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 50,021 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,138.39 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

12.0796
10.0007
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 10.6801, compared to 11.3184 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.6382 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 10.6801
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 11.3184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.2918 RSD (High: 11.8509 / Low: 10.5591). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2267 RSD (High: 10.6427 / Low: 10.4160).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒1.2918
April Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.2267

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5911 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5911

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 11.8592) against the same month in 2011 (average: 8.8905), the exchange rate shifted by +2.9687 (+33.39%).

2012 Avg (July) 11.8592
2011 Avg (July) 8.8905

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Month High Low Average
January 10.3080 10.0631 10.1740
February 10.3475 10.0043 10.2330
March 10.6200 10.3909 10.4812
April 10.6427 10.4160 10.5838
May 11.8509 10.5591 11.0772
June 11.8388 11.2770 11.5317
July 12.2319 11.4276 11.8592
August 12.1047 11.7167 11.9064
September 11.7910 11.0060 11.3153
October 11.2109 10.6750 10.9831
November 11.1049 10.8307 11.0197
December 11.0532 10.6902 10.8264