YEARLY HIGH
0.9735 SRD
YEARLY LOW
0.4958 SRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7670 SRD

2016 MOP to SRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to SRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 21, valuing the pair at 0.9735. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 0.4958.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4778 SRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4981 to the December average rate of 0.9213, the exchange rate registered a net change of 84.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9735 was up 94.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4999, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,868 SRD
2015 Average 2,088 SRD
Yearly Trough Low 2,479 SRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,388.90 SRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9824
0.4540
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.6258, compared to 0.9082 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.2824 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.6258
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.9082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.1116 SRD (High: 0.8077 / Low: 0.6961). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 SRD (High: 0.4994 / Low: 0.4970).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.1116
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0339 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0339

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 0.9384) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4112), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5271 (+128.18%).

2016 Avg (September) 0.9384
2015 Avg (September) 0.4112

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рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5004 0.4958 0.4981
February 0.4994 0.4970 0.4981
March 0.5007 0.4975 0.4994
April 0.7155 0.6350 0.6670
May 0.8077 0.6961 0.7289
June 0.8811 0.8028 0.8635
July 0.8903 0.8787 0.8836
August 0.9218 0.8818 0.8994
September 0.9735 0.8982 0.9384
October 0.9574 0.8556 0.9045
November 0.9139 0.8706 0.9021
December 0.9286 0.9144 0.9213