YEARLY HIGH
454.6199 UGX
YEARLY LOW
414.2367 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
427.4170 UGX

2016 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 454.6199. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 414.2367.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.3832 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 429.8159 to the December average rate of 450.4597, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 454.6199 was down 1.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 462.5958, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,273,099 UGX
2015 Average 2,028,065 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,071,183 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 201,915.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

453.6890
414.9373
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 422.6154, compared to 432.2186 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 9.6032 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 422.6154
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 432.2186

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 20.4221 UGX (High: 454.5493 / Low: 434.1272). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7338 UGX (High: 423.1272 / Low: 421.3934).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒20.4221
August Spread (Stable) ┬▒1.7338

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 6.9507 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.9507

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 450.4597) against the same month in 2015 (average: 421.7555), the exchange rate shifted by +28.7042 (+6.81%).

2016 Avg (December) 450.4597
2015 Avg (December) 421.7555

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 433.7187 422.3378 429.8159
February 433.3932 419.1412 427.6762
March 422.5872 417.4394 420.7255
April 421.7464 414.2367 418.3616
May 423.2415 414.7665 418.1666
June 427.3044 418.4508 420.9467
July 425.6193 420.9814 422.8806
August 423.1272 421.3934 422.0339
September 424.0703 422.0287 423.1037
October 433.4399 423.7301 429.3938
November 454.5493 434.1272 445.4397
December 454.6199 445.2406 450.4597