YEARLY HIGH
5.0204 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.4977 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7763 RUB

2021 MVR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MVR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 9, valuing the pair at 5.0204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 4.4977.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5227 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8355 to the December average rate of 4.7834, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.0204 was down 4.50% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.2568, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,102 RUB
2020 Average 23,440 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 22,488 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,613.54 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.9541
4.5870
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.8180, compared to 4.7345 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0835 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.8180
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.7345

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.3134 RUB (High: 4.8920 / Low: 4.5786). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0634 RUB (High: 4.7566 / Low: 4.6932).

November Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.3134
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0634

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1272 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1272

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 4.9235) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8602), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0633 (+1.30%).

2021 Avg (April) 4.9235
2020 Avg (April) 4.8602

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Month High Low Average
January 4.9486 4.7618 4.8355
February 4.9499 4.7610 4.8254
March 4.9622 4.7101 4.8281
April 5.0204 4.8139 4.9235
May 4.8827 4.7379 4.7964
June 4.7641 4.6411 4.6992
July 4.8537 4.7346 4.7978
August 4.8127 4.7233 4.7602
September 4.7566 4.6932 4.7223
October 4.7107 4.4977 4.6176
November 4.8920 4.5786 4.7260
December 4.8566 4.7465 4.7834