YEARLY HIGH
241.4632 UGX
YEARLY LOW
227.2102 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
232.4425 UGX

2021 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 241.4632. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 9, dropping to 227.2102.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.2530 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 239.6122 to the December average rate of 230.2616, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 241.4632 was down 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 254.5660, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,207,316 UGX
2020 Average 1,204,626 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,136,051 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 71,264.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

240.7059
227.5807
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 234.8656, compared to 230.0194 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 4.8462 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 234.8656
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 230.0194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 5.8310 UGX (High: 234.9013 / Low: 229.0703). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3302 UGX (High: 238.8788 / Low: 237.5486).

October Spread (Volatile) ┬▒5.8310
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒1.3302

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.2249 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2249

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 239.6122) against the same month in 2020 (average: 238.0167), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5955 (+0.67%).

2021 Avg (January) 239.6122
2020 Avg (January) 238.0167

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 241.4632 237.3547 239.6122
February 238.8788 237.5486 238.0210
March 237.9947 236.3381 237.1876
April 237.1176 231.8999 234.6870
May 233.1296 228.6625 230.4622
June 231.8409 227.2102 229.2236
July 231.4903 229.4700 230.4338
August 230.3204 228.3333 228.9499
September 230.4300 227.7672 228.6745
October 234.9013 229.0703 231.6319
November 232.1064 228.3680 230.1646
December 232.4498 229.0868 230.2616